Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 4.157358 4.456303 4.776640 5.147254 5.566547 6.028986 6.581479
2025-08-31 3.711640 4.130383 4.608017 5.200432 5.926113 6.800874 7.959255
2025-09-07 3.419781 3.898549 4.467560 5.207853 6.168165 7.406908 9.190881
2025-09-14 3.123841 3.617852 4.221209 5.032238 6.127805 7.613346 9.896852
2025-09-21 2.915256 3.420620 4.052058 4.924812 6.146357 7.879294 10.712655
2025-09-28 2.761077 3.276903 3.934497 4.866469 6.214241 8.210061 11.678976
2025-10-05 2.653234 3.183205 3.871952 4.872196 6.366562 8.679038 12.970553
2025-10-12 2.588131 3.139578 3.870546 4.959568 6.644281 9.381235 14.861679
2025-10-19 2.525552 3.094132 3.861394 5.031640 6.902339 10.088472 16.984787
2025-10-26 2.452330 3.029155 3.819228 5.048471 7.069985 10.661056 19.022739
2025-11-02 2.361737 2.935077 3.729171 4.983399 7.091489 10.962889 20.537648
2025-11-09 2.258433 2.818434 3.600018 4.847448 6.976510 10.980636 21.337158
2025-11-16 2.175908 2.730409 3.512192 4.777434 6.982039 11.266221 23.077960
2025-11-23 2.130666 2.693672 3.498502 4.826342 7.208263 12.060927 26.807598
2025-11-30 2.078103 2.643620 3.461470 4.833002 7.355896 12.716582 30.584279
2025-12-07 1.989034 2.536849 3.332930 4.677129 7.176258 12.584081 31.380026
2025-12-14 1.920493 2.457667 3.243213 4.581589 7.105238 12.701217 33.315172
2025-12-21 1.866918 2.398444 3.181452 4.529640 7.114660 13.018327 36.420937
2025-12-28 1.829918 2.362315 3.153801 4.534741 7.239465 13.658094 41.811959
2026-01-04 1.811317 2.352749 3.167127 4.612516 7.523666 14.800448 51.851173
2026-01-11 1.790607 2.339035 3.172871 4.676598 7.786711 15.968095 64.999646
2026-01-18 1.760770 2.310250 3.152785 4.691554 7.942956 16.866931 79.054070
2026-01-25 1.717874 2.260037 3.095657 4.633712 7.927110 17.213807 89.070248